Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 28/06, 15:00
Follo vs Levanger
55%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Follo 1425 · Levanger 1573
| Follo | Draw | Levanger | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 22% | 23% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 22% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.32 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.32Follo 1.26 · Levanger 2.06
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 51%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Levanger (rating 1425 vs 1573).
- High estimate: 3.32 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Levanger: 3-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Follo | Levanger | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 2.1 | 2.1 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.1 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Follo 1–0–3 Levanger
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Follo | 1-4 HT 1-3 | Levanger |
| 14/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Levanger | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Follo |
| 25/10/15 Norway Division 1 | Follo | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Levanger |
| 03/05/15 Norway Division 1 | Levanger | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Follo |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Follo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 23/05 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 25/04 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/04 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
Levanger
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |