Football · Norway Division 3 Group 1 · 28/06, 16:00
KFUM 2 vs Heming
50%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · KFUM 2 1484 · Heming 1546
| KFUM 2 | Draw | Heming | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 21% | 50% |
| Market | 29% | 21% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.03 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.03KFUM 2 1.74 · Heming 2.29
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heming (rating 1484 vs 1546).
- High estimate: 4.03 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| KFUM 2 | Heming | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 2.6 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.4 | 3 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
KFUM 2
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Ullern Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Nordstrand Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 23/05 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 15/05 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 20/04 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/04 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-6 | 5 | 1 | L |
Heming
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Gamle Oslo Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 13/06 | Frigg Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | Lommedalen Norway Cup |
0-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | FK Union Carl Berner Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 25/05 | Valerenga 2 Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
3-0 | 6-1 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | IF Ready Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Asker Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-5 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Grei Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Baerum Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/04 | Konnerud Norway Division 3 Group 1 |
1-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |