Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 28/06, 15:00
Stjørdals/Blink vs Junkeren
58%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Stjørdals/Blink 1474 · Junkeren 1478
| Stjørdals/Blink | Draw | Junkeren | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsBoth teams score: No · 43% · @2.63 · +12%
Expected goals3.42Stjørdals/Blink 2.18 · Junkeren 1.24
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.42 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Stjørdals/Blink: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Stjørdals/Blink | Junkeren | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.7 | 1.6 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0 | 4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Stjørdals/Blink 3–1–2 Junkeren
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Stjørdals/Blink | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Junkeren |
| 28/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Junkeren | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Stjørdals/Blink |
| 11/11/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Junkeren | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Stjørdals/Blink |
| 23/07/23 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Stjørdals/Blink | 1-4 HT 0-3 | Junkeren |
| 08/10/17 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Junkeren | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Stjørdals/Blink |
| 24/06/17 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Stjørdals/Blink | 3-3 | Junkeren |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Stjørdals/Blink
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 14/06 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
Junkeren
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-2 | 4-3 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 25/05 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 10 | L |
| 25/04 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/04 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |