⚽ Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 26/06, 18:00
Eidsvold TF vs Tromsdalen
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eidsvold TF 1552 · Tromsdalen 1490
| Eidsvold TF | Draw | Tromsdalen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 21% | 19% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.52 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.52Eidsvold TF 2.27 · Tromsdalen 1.25
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 58%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Eidsvold TF usually leads at HT (60%) while Tromsdalen trails (50%): look at home at HT.
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eidsvold TF (rating 1552 vs 1490).
- High estimate: 3.52 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Tromsdalen: 5-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.2 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Eidsvold TF | Tromsdalen | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.5 / 1 | 1.8 / 2.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 5.6 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0 | 3.6 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Eidsvold TF 1–0–5 Tromsdalen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Eidsvold TF | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Tromsdalen |
| 24/05/25 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Tromsdalen | 4-2 HT 1-1 | Eidsvold TF |
| 19/10/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Eidsvold TF | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Tromsdalen |
| 13/04/24 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Tromsdalen | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Eidsvold TF |
| 07/08/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Eidsvold TF | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Tromsdalen |
| 21/05/22 Norway Division 2 Group 2 | Tromsdalen | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Eidsvold TF |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Eidsvold TF
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 1 | W |
| 15/05 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
4-0 | 5-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
Tromsdalen
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 14/06 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Skeid Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/05 | Trygg/Lade Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 2 | W |