Football · Norway Division 2 Group 2 · 28/06, 14:00
Skeid vs Trygg/Lade
63%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Skeid 1470 · Trygg/Lade 1407
| Skeid | Draw | Trygg/Lade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Market | 64% | 20% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.91 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Profitable betsUnder 2.5 goals · 44% · @2.63 · +17%
Under 4.5 goals · 83% · @1.28 · +7%
High-value bet — premium onlyGo premium to see it.Expected goals2.91Skeid 2.01 · Trygg/Lade 0.89
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skeid (rating 1470 vs 1407).
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Skeid | Trygg/Lade | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1.4 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.1 | 1.6 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Skeid
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 14/06 | Rana FK Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 16/05 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Eidsvold TF Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
Trygg/Lade
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Lørenskog Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Stjørdals/Blink Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Grorud Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Tromsdalen Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-2 | 1-2 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Levanger Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Ullensaker/Kisa Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
3-0 | 4-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Honefoss Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Kjelsås Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Junkeren Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Follo Norway Division 2 Group 2 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |