Football · South Korea K League 2 · 05/07, 12:30
Gimpo FC vs Chungnam Asan FC
Expected goals: 2.31 (Gimpo FC 1.42 · Chungnam Asan FC 0.9). The model gives 48% home, 28% draw, 23% away. Under 2.5 goals (56%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 1-1.
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimpo FC 1538 · Chungnam Asan FC 1550
| Gimpo FC | Draw | Chungnam Asan FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 30% | 23% |
| Market | 49% | 28% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.31Gimpo FC 1.42 · Chungnam Asan FC 0.9
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimpo FC | Chungnam Asan FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.2 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.4 | 2.2 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimpo FC 2–2–2 Chungnam Asan FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 South Korea K League 2 | Chungnam Asan FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Gimpo FC |
| 01/06/25 South Korea K League 2 | Chungnam Asan FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Gimpo FC |
| 12/04/25 South Korea K League 2 | Gimpo FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chungnam Asan FC |
| 05/10/24 South Korea K League 2 | Gimpo FC | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Chungnam Asan FC |
| 06/07/24 South Korea K League 2 | Gimpo FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Chungnam Asan FC |
| 15/05/24 South Korea K League 2 | Chungnam Asan FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Gimpo FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 5 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Suwon FC | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Paju Frontier FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Yongin FC | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 14 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimpo FC | Chungnam Asan FC |
|---|---|---|
| Jeonnam Dragons | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Gimhae FC 2008 | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Ansan Greeners FC | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Chungbuk Cheongju | 1-1 D | 0-0 D |
| Seoul E-Land FC | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Hwaseong FC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Suwon Bluewings | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 1 L | 4 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chungnam Asan FC (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimpo FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/04 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | D |
Chungnam Asan FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Seoul E-Land FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 03/05 | Cheonan City South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | D |
| 12/04 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 05/04 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 28/03 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |