Football · South Korea K League 2 · 05/07, 12:30
Gyeongnam FC vs Cheonan City
Expected goals: 2.47 (Gyeongnam FC 1.3 · Cheonan City 1.17). The model gives 39% home, 29% draw, 32% away. Over 2 goals (55%) and both teams to score (52%). Most likely score: 1-1.
39%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gyeongnam FC 1486 · Cheonan City 1521
| Gyeongnam FC | Draw | Cheonan City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 39% | 29% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.47 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.47Gyeongnam FC 1.3 · Cheonan City 1.17
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 55%
BTTSYes · 52%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gyeongnam FC | Cheonan City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.2 | 1.1 / 3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gyeongnam FC 2–2–2 Cheonan City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 South Korea K League 2 | Gyeongnam FC | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Cheonan City |
| 26/07/25 South Korea K League 2 | Cheonan City | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Gyeongnam FC |
| 24/05/25 South Korea K League 2 | Gyeongnam FC | 3-1 HT 3-1 | Cheonan City |
| 05/10/24 South Korea K League 2 | Cheonan City | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Gyeongnam FC |
| 28/07/24 South Korea K League 2 | Gyeongnam FC | 3-3 HT 0-2 | Cheonan City |
| 07/04/24 South Korea K League 2 | Cheonan City | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Gyeongnam FC |
Standings · South Korea K League 2
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Busan I Park | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 32 |
| 2 | Suwon Bluewings | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Seoul E-Land FC | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 26 |
| 4 | Daegu FC | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 19 | 25 |
| 5 | Hwaseong FC | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 17 | 25 |
| 6 | Gimpo FC | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 24 |
| 7 | Suwon FC | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 20 | 23 |
| 8 | Chungnam Asan FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 18 | 20 |
| 9 | Cheonan City | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 19 |
| 10 | Seongnam FC | 14 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 17 |
| 11 | Gyeongnam FC | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 23 | 16 |
| 12 | Paju Frontier FC | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 14 |
| 13 | Yongin FC | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 22 | 13 |
| 14 | Chungbuk Cheongju | 14 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 21 | 13 |
| 15 | Ansan Greeners FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 11 |
| 16 | Jeonnam Dragons | 14 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 23 | 8 |
| 17 | Gimhae FC 2008 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 11 | 30 | 6 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gyeongnam FC | Cheonan City |
|---|---|---|
| Suwon FC | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Seongnam FC | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Daegu FC | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Paju Frontier FC | 3-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Suwon Bluewings | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| Busan I Park | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ansan Greeners FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gyeongnam FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06 | Yongin FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Hwaseong FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 17/05 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Gimhae FC 2008 South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/03 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 4 | D |
Cheonan City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/06 | Suwon FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 31/05 | Ansan Greeners FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 25/05 | Suwon Bluewings South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Paju Frontier FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 10/05 | Busan I Park South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Chungnam Asan FC South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Seongnam FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Daegu FC South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | Chungbuk Cheongju South Korea K League 2 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 28/03 | Jeonnam Dragons South Korea K League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |