Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 27/06, 12:00
Træff vs Eik Tønsberg
60%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Træff 1466 · Eik Tønsberg 1417
| Træff | Draw | Eik Tønsberg | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 22% | 17% |
| Market | 60% | 23% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.18 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.18Træff 2.11 · Eik Tønsberg 1.07
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 55%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Træff (rating 1466 vs 1417).
- High estimate: 3.18 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Træff | Eik Tønsberg | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2 | 0.7 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1.1 | 0.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.8 | 1.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Træff 0–1–1 Eik Tønsberg
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Træff | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Eik Tønsberg |
| 09/06/25 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Eik Tønsberg | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Træff |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Træff
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 0 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 14/05 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 03/05 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 26/04 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
Eik Tønsberg
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Vidar Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 10/05 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-6 | 0-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Kvik Halden FK Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |