Football · Norway Division 2 Group 1 · 27/06, 13:00
Vidar vs Kvik Halden FK
52%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vidar 1408 · Kvik Halden FK 1535
| Vidar | Draw | Kvik Halden FK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 24% | 51% |
| Market | 26% | 22% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.15 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.15Vidar 1.26 · Kvik Halden FK 1.89
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 56%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kvik Halden FK (rating 1408 vs 1535).
- High estimate: 3.15 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vidar | Kvik Halden FK | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/20/60% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 2.4 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vidar 1–0–1 Kvik Halden FK
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Vidar | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Kvik Halden FK |
| 10/06/19 Norway Division 2 Group 1 | Kvik Halden FK | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Vidar |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vidar
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Pors Grenland Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 30/05 | Træff Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 03/05 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-4 | 0-5 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 11/04 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Kvik Halden FK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Sotra Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Mjondalen Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Lysekloster Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Jerv Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Sandviken Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 09/05 | Notodden Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 02/05 | Brattvåg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Arendal Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Bjarg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Eik Tønsberg Norway Division 2 Group 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |