Football · Faroe Islands Premier League · 29/06, 19:30
Vikingur Gota vs NSI Runavik
43%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vikingur Gota 1543 · NSI Runavik 1589
| Vikingur Gota | Draw | NSI Runavik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 27% | 42% |
| Market | 32% | 25% | 43% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.96 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.96Vikingur Gota 1.36 · NSI Runavik 1.6
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours NSI Runavik (rating 1543 vs 1589).
- Early goals: 1.9 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 15.2 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vikingur Gota | NSI Runavik | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1 | 2.7 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4 / 8.4 | 3 / 6.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.2 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vikingur Gota 2–2–2 NSI Runavik
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/03/26 Faroe Islands Premier League | NSI Runavik | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vikingur Gota |
| 18/08/25 Faroe Islands Premier League | Vikingur Gota | 3-3 HT 1-0 | NSI Runavik |
| 22/06/25 Faroe Islands Premier League | NSI Runavik | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Vikingur Gota |
| 07/04/25 Faroe Islands Cup | Vikingur Gota | 3-1 HT 2-1 | NSI Runavik |
| 16/03/25 Faroe Islands Premier League | Vikingur Gota | 0-3 HT 0-1 | NSI Runavik |
| 31/08/24 Faroe Islands Premier League | Vikingur Gota | 3-0 HT 0-0 | NSI Runavik |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vikingur Gota
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/06 | HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 19/06 | KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Premier League |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | 07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 25/05 | Skala IF Faroe Islands Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 18/05 | AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 12 | 5 | W |
| 14/05 | HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 5 | D |
| 04/05 | 07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | D |
| 29/04 | FC Hoyvik Faroe Islands Cup |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
NSI Runavik
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Cup |
0-0 | 6-5 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/06 | B68 Toftir Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 12 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | AB Argir Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | EB/Streymur Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 17/05 | 07 Vestur Faroe Islands Premier League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | KI Klaksvik Faroe Islands Cup |
0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | HB Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 04/05 | B36 Torshavn Faroe Islands Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 30/04 | 07 Vestur Faroe Islands Cup |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |