⚽ Football · Australia Queensland Premier League · 27/06, 08:30
St George Willawong FC vs North Star
43%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St George Willawong FC 1401 · North Star 1455
| St George Willawong FC | Draw | North Star | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 25% | 38% |
| Market | 29% | 24% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.95St George Willawong FC 1.48 · North Star 1.47
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 52%
BTTSYes · 60%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours North Star (rating 1401 vs 1455).
- H2H favours St George Willawong FC: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St George Willawong FC | North Star | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.5 / 3.1 | 1.5 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.3 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/56/44% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.1 | 2.4 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.4 | 3.3 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · St George Willawong FC 4–1–1 North Star
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League | North Star | 1-0 HT 0-0 | St George Willawong FC |
| 09/07/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | St George Willawong FC | 2-2 HT 0-1 | North Star |
| 01/04/23 Australia Queensland Premier League 2 | North Star | 0-2 HT 0-1 | St George Willawong FC |
| 16/08/20 Australia Brisbane Premier League | St George Willawong FC | 5-1 HT 4-0 | North Star |
| 25/08/19 Australia Brisbane Capital League 1 | St George Willawong FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | North Star |
| 19/05/19 Australia Brisbane Capital League 1 | North Star | 0-4 HT 0-3 | St George Willawong FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
St George Willawong FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Holland Park Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 07/06 | Redlands United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 0-8 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 24/05 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 04/05 | Brisbane City Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 9 | L |
North Star
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Broadbeach United Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/06 | Sunshine Coast Wanderers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 02/06 | Brisbane Strikers Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 26/05 | Gold Coast United Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Logan Lightning Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 10/05 | Robina City Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/04 | Caloundra Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 24/04 | Capalaba FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 18/04 | Ipswich FC Australia Queensland Premier League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |