⚽ Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 25/06, 18:00
Staal Jørpeland vs Hinna
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Staal Jørpeland 1506 · Hinna 1417
| Staal Jørpeland | Draw | Hinna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 19% | 23% |
| Market | 50% | 21% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.08 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.08Staal Jørpeland 2.52 · Hinna 1.56
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 73%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Staal Jørpeland (rating 1506 vs 1417).
- High estimate: 4.08 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.5 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Staal Jørpeland | Hinna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.2 | 1.4 / 3.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/10/40% | 20/20/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 3.4 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Staal Jørpeland 2–0–2 Hinna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Hinna | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Staal Jørpeland |
| 14/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Staal Jørpeland | 2-5 HT 0-3 | Hinna |
| 12/08/21 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Staal Jørpeland | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Hinna |
| 05/02/20 Europe Friendlies | Staal Jørpeland | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Hinna |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Staal Jørpeland
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 15/06 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-1 | 5-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 26/05 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 02/05 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
Hinna
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Varhaug Norway Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 29/05 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 14/05 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/05 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 0-8 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |