Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 28/06, 14:00
Brodd vs Haugesund 2
49%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Brodd 1478 · Haugesund 2 1503
| Brodd | Draw | Haugesund 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 21% | 30% |
| Market | 49% | 21% | 30% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.29 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.29Brodd 2.4 · Haugesund 2 1.89
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 52%
BTTSYes · 63%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 4.29 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Haugesund 2: 2-1-1.
- Early goals: 2.2 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 1.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Brodd | Haugesund 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.2 | 2.4 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.2 / 7 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Brodd 1–1–2 Haugesund 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Brodd | 5-5 HT 2-3 | Haugesund 2 |
| 26/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Haugesund 2 | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Brodd |
| 16/10/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Brodd | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Haugesund 2 |
| 19/04/22 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Haugesund 2 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Brodd |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Brodd
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 3-3 | 16 | 4 | D |
| 13/06 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 26/05 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 14/05 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 11/04 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
Haugesund 2
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 30/05 | Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-2 | 3-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-0 | 7-2 | – | – | W |
| 14/05 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 07/05 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 02/05 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-1 | 4-2 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 0-3 | 8 | 5 | L |