⚽ Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 25/06, 18:00
Vag FK vs Viking 2
48%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vag FK 1473 · Viking 2 1553
| Vag FK | Draw | Viking 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 22% | 42% |
| Market | 28% | 21% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.48 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.48Vag FK 1.66 · Viking 2 1.82
Over / Under 3.5Under 3.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 68%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Viking 2 (rating 1473 vs 1553).
- High estimate: 3.48 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Viking 2: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.6 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 14.8 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vag FK | Viking 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.8 | 2.7 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 7.6 | 3.2 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.7 | 2.2 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Vag FK 0–0–2 Viking 2
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Vag FK | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Viking 2 |
| 03/05/25 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Viking 2 | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Vag FK |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Vag FK
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 15/06 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | Trauma Norway Cup |
2-1 | 5-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 30/05 | Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-3 | 2-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
Viking 2
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 5-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Åkra Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 11/05 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 8-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 12/04 | Flekkerøy Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |