⚽ Football · Norway Division 3 Group 4 · 26/06, 18:00
Flekkerøy vs Åkra
69%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flekkerøy 1556 · Åkra 1461
| Flekkerøy | Draw | Åkra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 19% | 22% |
| Market | 77% | 14% | 9% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.2Flekkerøy 2.6 · Åkra 1.6
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 50%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flekkerøy (rating 1556 vs 1461).
- High estimate: 4.2 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (1.1 + 0.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flekkerøy | Åkra | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.6 / 1.5 | 1.4 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.5 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/20/30% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 6 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0 | 4 / 0 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Flekkerøy
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/06 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 14/06 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-3 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 16/05 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/05 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Varhaug Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Brodd Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
Åkra
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Vindbjart Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Madla Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Odd II Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/05 | Haugesund 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-3 | 2-7 | – | – | L |
| 14/05 | Viking 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 07/05 | Hinna Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
2-1 | 4-3 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Mandalskameratene Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Staal Jørpeland Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Stabaek 2 Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Vag FK Norway Division 3 Group 4 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |