⚽ Football · Norway Division 3 Group 6 · 25/06, 17:00
Bjørkelangen vs Sarpsborg 2
54%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Bjørkelangen 1370 · Sarpsborg 2 1475
| Bjørkelangen | Draw | Sarpsborg 2 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 20% | 46% |
| Market | 20% | 20% | 60% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.06 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.06Bjørkelangen 1.86 · Sarpsborg 2 2.2
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 75%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarpsborg 2 (rating 1370 vs 1475).
- High estimate: 4.06 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.5 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Bjørkelangen | Sarpsborg 2 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.2 | 2.1 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3 / 0 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Bjørkelangen
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Ørn Horten Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Elverum Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 26/04 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-6 | 0-9 | – | – | L |
| 11/04 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
Sarpsborg 2
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Fram Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Brumunddal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 30/05 | Oppsal Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Rade IL Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-2 | 1-5 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 19/05 | Lyn 1896 II Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-3 | 6-3 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Gjøvik-Lyn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Drøbak/Frogn Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/04 | Lillehammer Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 1-6 | – | – | L |
| 20/04 | Rælingen Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Sandefjord 2 Norway Division 3 Group 6 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 5 | L |