⚽ Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · 27/06, 11:15
University of Queensland vs Moggill
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · University of Queensland 1447 · Moggill 1555
| University of Queensland | Draw | Moggill | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 20% | 47% |
| Market | 16% | 16% | 67% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.3 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.3University of Queensland 1.97 · Moggill 2.33
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 78%
Likely score1-2
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Moggill (rating 1447 vs 1555).
- High estimate: 4.3 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours University of Queensland: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.7 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 1.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.8 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| University of Queensland | Moggill | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2.5 | 3 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 1.8 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 70/0/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.7 | 3.5 / 7.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.2 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · University of Queensland 2–0–1 Moggill
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Moggill | 6-3 HT 3-3 | University of Queensland |
| 29/07/17 Australia Brisbane Capital League 1 | Moggill | 0-5 | University of Queensland |
| 06/05/17 Australia Brisbane Capital League 1 | University of Queensland | 6-1 HT 3-0 | Moggill |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
University of Queensland
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 09/06 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-1 | 7-2 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 5 | D |
Moggill
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 06/06 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 20/05 | Peninsula Power Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 10/05 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 2-3 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
5-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 24/04 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 6 | D |