⚽ Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · 28/06, 09:00
North Brisbane FC vs Ipswich Knights
43%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · North Brisbane FC 1444 · Ipswich Knights 1476
| North Brisbane FC | Draw | Ipswich Knights | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 23% | 35% |
| Market | 30% | 21% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.73 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.73North Brisbane FC 1.94 · Ipswich Knights 1.79
BTTSYes · 72%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 3.73 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Ipswich Knights: 2-0-1.
- Early goals: 1.4 combined avg at HT (0.5 + 0.9) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| North Brisbane FC | Ipswich Knights | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 1.8 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 1.5 | 0.9 / 1.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 2.7 | 1.6 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.4 / 0.1 | 3.9 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · North Brisbane FC 1–0–2 Ipswich Knights
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Ipswich Knights | 1-2 HT 0-1 | North Brisbane FC |
| 19/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | North Brisbane FC | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Ipswich Knights |
| 18/06/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Ipswich Knights | 2-0 HT 1-0 | North Brisbane FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
North Brisbane FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/06 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | – | – | L |
| 07/06 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 4-2 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/05 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 02/05 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-5 | 0-7 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
Ipswich Knights
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 09/06 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
5-3 | 6-4 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 5-0 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 10/05 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-3 | 0-5 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-4 | 2-6 | 9 | 5 | L |