⚽ Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · 27/06, 09:00
AC Carina vs North Lakes United
51%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AC Carina 1531 · North Lakes United 1526
| AC Carina | Draw | North Lakes United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 20% | 33% |
| Market | 54% | 21% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.22 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.22AC Carina 2.31 · North Lakes United 1.91
Over / Under 4Over 4 · 50%
BTTSYes · 77%
Likely score2-1
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 4.22 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.3 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 1.5) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AC Carina | North Lakes United | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 1.9 | 2.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.6 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.1 | 3.5 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · AC Carina 1–0–0 North Lakes United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | North Lakes United | 1-2 HT 1-1 | AC Carina |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
AC Carina
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 07/06 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 26/05 | Caboolture FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 08/05 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 11 | 10 | W |
| 05/05 | Mudgeeraba Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 18/04 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Newmarket Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 6-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 28/03 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
North Lakes United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 5-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/06 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 05/06 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 10/05 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
4-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 18/04 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
4-0 | 6-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 14/04 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-2 | 4-2 | 7 | 3 | W |