⚽ Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 26/06, 18:00
Skedsmo vs Skjetten
64%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Skedsmo 1582 · Skjetten 1464
| Skedsmo | Draw | Skjetten | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 19% | 20% |
| Market | 66% | 17% | 17% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.14 goals · Bet365 line 4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💰 bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.14Skedsmo 2.65 · Skjetten 1.5
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Skedsmo (rating 1582 vs 1464).
- High estimate: 4.14 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Skjetten: 4-2-0.
- Early goals: 2.5 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 1.2) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Skedsmo | Skjetten | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 1.6 | 2 / 2.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 0.7 | 1.2 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.8 / 6.5 | 2.1 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.3 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Skedsmo 0–2–4 Skjetten
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Skedsmo | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Skjetten |
| 08/06/25 Norway Division 3 Group 3 | Skjetten | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Skedsmo |
| 27/10/24 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Skedsmo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Skjetten |
| 20/04/24 Norway Division 3 Group 5 | Skjetten | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Skedsmo |
| 20/08/23 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Skedsmo | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Skjetten |
| 17/06/23 Norway Division 3 Group 1 | Skjetten | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Skedsmo |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Skedsmo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 12/04 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 2-5 | – | – | L |
Skjetten
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 15/06 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-3 | 5-3 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/05 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 3 | L |
| 14/05 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 09/05 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Skjervøy Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 25/04 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
4-1 | 5-3 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 20/04 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Strømsgodset 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | L |