Football · Norway Division 3 Group 5 · 28/06, 12:00
Strømsgodset 2 vs Skjervøy
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Strømsgodset 2 1489 · Skjervøy 1459
| Strømsgodset 2 | Draw | Skjervøy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 22% | 31% |
| Market | 47% | 22% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.94 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals3.94Strømsgodset 2 2.18 · Skjervøy 1.76
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 61%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 3.94 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Strømsgodset 2: 2-0-0.
- Early goals: 2.1 combined avg at HT (1.3 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Strømsgodset 2 | Skjervøy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 2.3 | 1.7 / 2.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5 | – / – |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | – / – |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Strømsgodset 2 2–0–0 Skjervøy
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Skjervøy | 2-3 | Strømsgodset 2 |
| 12/06/22 Norway Division 3 Group 6 | Strømsgodset 2 | 4-3 | Skjervøy |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Strømsgodset 2
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 13/06 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 01/06 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 26/05 | Lillestrøm 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Alta Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-1 | 3-3 | 11 | 7 | D |
| 19/04 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
3-0 | 5-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 12/04 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
Skjervøy
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Bossekop Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-4 | 3-8 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Skedsmo Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | IL Ulfstind Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/05 | Fauske/Sprint Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-1 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 14/05 | Harstad Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Kongsvinger 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Skjetten Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Fløya Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 18/04 | Finnsnes IL Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 12/04 | Tromso 2 Norway Division 3 Group 5 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |