Football · USA NWSL Women · 05/07, 23:00
Chicago Stars (W) vs Utah Royals (W)
Expected goals: 2.4 (Chicago Stars (W) 0.83 · Utah Royals (W) 1.57). The model gives 19% home, 28% draw, 54% away. Under 2.5 goals (52%) and both teams to score (50%). Most likely score: 0-1.
54%2
Model analysis
Expected goals2.4Chicago Stars (W) 0.83 · Utah Royals (W) 1.57
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 50%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Utah Royals (W) (rating 1421 vs 1587).
- H2H favours Chicago Stars (W): 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chicago Stars (W) | Utah Royals (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.3 / 1.9 | 1.6 / 0.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 3.1 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.8 / 0.2 | 3.1 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Stars (W) 3–1–2 Utah Royals (W)
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/04/26 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 05/10/25 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 19/04/25 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 12/05/24 USA NWSL Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
| 17/03/24 USA NWSL Women | Utah Royals (W) | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Chicago Stars (W) |
| 13/07/20 USA NWSL Challenge Cup Women | Chicago Stars (W) | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Utah Royals (W) |
Standings · USA NWSL Women
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | San Diego Wave (W) | 13 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Utah Royals (W) | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 10 | 24 |
| 3 | Portland Thorns (W) | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Washington Spirit (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 9 | 21 |
| 5 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 5 | 21 |
| 6 | Kansas City Current (W) | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | North Carolina Courage (W) | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 13 | 18 |
| 8 | Orlando Pride (W) | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 17 | 17 |
| 9 | Denver Summit FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 15 |
| 10 | Reign FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 11 | Houston Dash (W) | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 19 | 14 |
| 12 | Angel City FC (W) | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 14 | 13 |
| 13 | Bay FC (W) | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 11 |
| 14 | Boston Legacy FC (W) | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 9 |
| 15 | Chicago Stars (W) | 12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | 5 | 24 | 9 |
| 16 | Racing Louisville FC (W) | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 15 | 20 | 7 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chicago Stars (W) | Utah Royals (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Bay FC (W) | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Portland Thorns (W) | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Boston Legacy FC (W) | 2-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Chicago Stars (W) (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chicago Stars (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 17/05 | North Carolina Courage (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 10/05 | Kansas City Current (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 0 | L |
| 30/04 | NJ/NY Gotham FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Utah Royals (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 29/03 | San Diego Wave (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 26/03 | Orlando Pride (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-3 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
Utah Royals (W)
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Portland Thorns (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 24/05 | Denver Summit FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 18/05 | Racing Louisville FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 10/05 | Bay FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 07/05 | Houston Dash (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Angel City FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 27/04 | Reign FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
3-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Chicago Stars (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 28/03 | Boston Legacy FC (W) USA NWSL Women |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 26/03 | Washington Spirit (W) USA NWSL Women |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | D |