⚽ Football · Australia Queensland Premier League 3 · 27/06, 09:00
Springfield United vs Newmarket
47%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Springfield United 1537 · Newmarket 1562
| Springfield United | Draw | Newmarket | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 20% | 36% |
| Market | 25% | 20% | 55% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.2 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals4.2Springfield United 2.2 · Newmarket 2
Over / Under 4Under 4 · 51%
BTTSYes · 77%
Likely score2-1
💎 ValueSpringfield United or draw · @2.24Safer option: double chance at 2.24 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- High estimate: 4.2 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Springfield United: 4-0-1.
- Early goals: 2.2 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 1.3) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Springfield United | Newmarket | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 1.9 | 3.4 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6.2 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.7 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.6 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Springfield United 4–0–1 Newmarket
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/03/26 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Newmarket | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Springfield United |
| 23/08/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Newmarket | 2-5 HT 0-0 | Springfield United |
| 06/07/25 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Springfield United | 3-2 HT 0-0 | Newmarket |
| 04/08/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Newmarket | 2-4 HT 0-3 | Springfield United |
| 27/04/24 Australia Queensland Premier League 3 | Springfield United | 1-4 HT 0-1 | Newmarket |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Springfield United
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | North Lakes United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-5 | – | – | L |
| 17/06 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/06 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | D |
| 31/05 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-2 | 13 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-1 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | North Pine Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
Newmarket
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Logan Roos FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
4-0 | 5-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | University of Queensland Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Mount Gravatt Hawks Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Moggill Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
2-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Yeronga Eagles FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Redcliffe Dolphins SC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
3-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Ipswich Knights Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | North Brisbane FC Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 11/04 | AC Carina Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
1-0 | 2-6 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 29/03 | Springfield United Australia Queensland Premier League 3 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 7 | L |