Football · Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women · 27/06, 14:00
IF Gnistan (W) vs PK-35 Vantaa (W)
41%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · IF Gnistan (W) 1445 · PK-35 Vantaa (W) 1456
| IF Gnistan (W) | Draw | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 22% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
4.06 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals4.06IF Gnistan (W) 1.95 · PK-35 Vantaa (W) 2.1
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 54%
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total4 goals
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High estimate: 4.06 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.6 combined avg at HT (0.6 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| IF Gnistan (W) | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 2 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/20/50% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.1 / 4.1 | 1.7 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.6 / 0.1 | 1.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · IF Gnistan (W) 1–0–1 PK-35 Vantaa (W)
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 Finland Cup Women | IF Gnistan (W) | 0-9 HT 0-3 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) |
| 24/04/26 Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women | PK-35 Vantaa (W) | 2-3 HT 2-2 | IF Gnistan (W) |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
IF Gnistan (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/06 | KuPS (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 13/06 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 31/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/05 | HIFK (W) Finland Cup Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 17/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 14/05 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Cup Women |
0-3 | 0-9 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-5 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 24/04 | PK-35 Vantaa (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-2 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
PK-35 Vantaa (W)
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 23/05 | HJK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-3 | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 17/05 | VIFK (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 14/05 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Cup Women |
3-0 | 9-0 | 14 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Aland United (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-5 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | HPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | IF Gnistan (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 04/04 | KuPS (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
1-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 28/03 | Ilves (W) Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women |
2-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 1 | W |