⚽ Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 28/06, 07:00
Kahibah FC vs Maitland FC
49%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kahibah FC 1455 · Maitland FC 1506
| Kahibah FC | Draw | Maitland FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 22% | 20% | 58% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.44Kahibah FC 1.74 · Maitland FC 1.71
BTTSYes · 68%
Most likely total3 goals
💎 ValueKahibah FC or draw · @2.37Safer option: double chance at 2.37 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Maitland FC (rating 1455 vs 1506).
- High estimate: 3.44 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.8 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Kahibah FC | Maitland FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 2.5 | 1.3 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 56/22/22% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.7 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Kahibah FC 1–0–0 Maitland FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Maitland FC | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Kahibah FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Kahibah FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 21/06 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-2 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 16/05 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/05 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 03/05 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 3-6 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 19/04 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/04 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 0 | W |
Maitland FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 13/06 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 30/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 23/05 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 15/05 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 05/05 | Valentine Phoenix Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 24/04 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | Lambton Jaffas Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |