⚽ Football · Australia Northern NSW Premier League · 27/06, 08:30
Valentine Phoenix vs Lambton Jaffas
45%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Valentine Phoenix 1488 · Lambton Jaffas 1522
| Valentine Phoenix | Draw | Lambton Jaffas | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 25% | 21% | 54% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.07Valentine Phoenix 1.6 · Lambton Jaffas 1.46
BTTSYes · 62%
Most likely total3 goals
💎 ValueValentine Phoenix or draw · @2.16Safer option: double chance at 2.16 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Lambton Jaffas: 4-0-2.
- Early goals: 1.3 combined avg at HT (0.2 + 1.1) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 12.3 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Valentine Phoenix | Lambton Jaffas | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.7 | 2.1 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1 | 1.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 11/22/67% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.2 | 3.7 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.2 | 2.5 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Valentine Phoenix 2–0–4 Lambton Jaffas
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Lambton Jaffas | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Valentine Phoenix |
| 19/07/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Lambton Jaffas | 7-0 HT 4-0 | Valentine Phoenix |
| 26/04/25 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Valentine Phoenix | 0-3 HT 0-3 | Lambton Jaffas |
| 27/07/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Valentine Phoenix | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Lambton Jaffas |
| 27/04/24 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Lambton Jaffas | 3-2 HT 3-1 | Valentine Phoenix |
| 15/07/23 Australia Northern NSW Premier League | Valentine Phoenix | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Lambton Jaffas |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Valentine Phoenix
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 13/06 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 06/06 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Weston Workers FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/05 | Maitland FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 10 | 5 | L |
Lambton Jaffas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06 | Edgeworth Eagles Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 20/06 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 14/06 | Charlestown Azzurri Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 31/05 | Broadmeadow Magic Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 4 | L |
| 16/05 | Kahibah FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Newcastle Olympic FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Belmont Swansea United SC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 29/04 | Adamstown Rosebud Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Cooks Hill United Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Maitland FC Australia Northern NSW Premier League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | L |