Football · South Korea K League 1 · 04/07, 12:30
Jeonbuk Motors vs Gangwon FC
Expected goals: 1.85 (Jeonbuk Motors 1.06 · Gangwon FC 0.8). The model gives 41% home, 32% draw, 27% away. Under 2 goals (53%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 0-0.
41%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jeonbuk Motors 1557 · Gangwon FC 1544
| Jeonbuk Motors | Draw | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 35% | 26% |
| Market | 42% | 31% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.85 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.85Jeonbuk Motors 1.06 · Gangwon FC 0.8
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 53%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 79%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Jeonbuk Motors: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Jeonbuk Motors | Gangwon FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.7 | 1.6 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.2 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/50/0% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.7 | 2.9 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.1 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jeonbuk Motors 3–3–0 Gangwon FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 01/11/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 27/08/25 South Korea Cup | Gangwon FC | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Jeonbuk Motors |
| 20/08/25 South Korea Cup | Jeonbuk Motors | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 23/07/25 South Korea K League 1 | Jeonbuk Motors | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Gangwon FC |
| 13/06/25 South Korea K League 1 | Gangwon FC | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Jeonbuk Motors |
Standings · South Korea K League 1
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Seoul | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 12 | 32 |
| 2 | Ulsan HD | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 22 | 20 | 26 |
| 3 | Jeonbuk Motors | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 21 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | Gangwon FC | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 10 | 24 |
| 5 | Pohang Steelers | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | Incheon Utd | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | FC Anyang | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 20 |
| 8 | Jeju United | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Bucheon | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 17 |
| 10 | Daejeon Hana Citizen | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 16 |
| 11 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 21 | 14 |
| 12 | Gwangju FC | 15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 37 | 7 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Jeonbuk Motors | Gangwon FC |
|---|---|---|
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Gwangju FC | 4-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Pohang Steelers | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Incheon Utd | 1-2 L | 1-0 W |
| FC Seoul | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Ulsan HD | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 2 L | 3 W 2 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jeonbuk Motors
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 13/05 | Bucheon South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | FC Anyang South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 05/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/05 | Jeju United South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 21/04 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 18/04 | Gangwon FC South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 04/04 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
Gangwon FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05 | Ulsan HD South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 12/05 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 05/05 | Pohang Steelers South Korea K League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 02/05 | Incheon Utd South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | FC Seoul South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/04 | Gimcheon Sangmu FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 18/04 | Jeonbuk Motors South Korea K League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Daejeon Hana Citizen South Korea K League 1 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Gwangju FC South Korea K League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 6 | W |