⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 27/06, 11:00
Camden Tigers SC vs South Coast Flame FC
46%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Camden Tigers SC 1402 · South Coast Flame FC 1465
| Camden Tigers SC | Draw | South Coast Flame FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| Market | 26% | 21% | 52% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.42Camden Tigers SC 1.68 · South Coast Flame FC 1.73
BTTSYes · 68%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours South Coast Flame FC (rating 1402 vs 1465).
- High estimate: 3.42 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours South Coast Flame FC: 3-1-0.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 0.7) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg → Over corners.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Camden Tigers SC | South Coast Flame FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 3.1 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 40/20/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.5 / 4.8 | 2.3 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 2.8 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Camden Tigers SC 0–1–3 South Coast Flame FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | South Coast Flame FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Camden Tigers SC |
| 19/08/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Camden Tigers SC | 1-2 HT 0-2 | South Coast Flame FC |
| 19/04/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | South Coast Flame FC | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Camden Tigers SC |
| 04/05/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | South Coast Flame FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Camden Tigers SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Camden Tigers SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-2 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 09/05 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 25/04 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/04 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
South Coast Flame FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 06/06 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-3 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 22/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 17/05 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/05 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-3 | 12 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 25/04 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 18/04 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | L |