⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 27/06, 11:00
Dunbar Rovers FC vs Mounties Wanderers
58%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunbar Rovers FC 1510 · Mounties Wanderers 1603
| Dunbar Rovers FC | Draw | Mounties Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 24% | 43% |
| Market | 14% | 16% | 70% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.42Dunbar Rovers FC 1.59 · Mounties Wanderers 1.84
BTTSYes · 68%
Most likely total3 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mounties Wanderers (rating 1510 vs 1603).
- High estimate: 3.42 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 2.2 combined avg at HT (0.8 + 1.4) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dunbar Rovers FC | Mounties Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.2 | 3.6 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.7 | 1.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.5 | 2 / 6.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.2 | 2.6 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Dunbar Rovers FC 2–0–2 Mounties Wanderers
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Mounties Wanderers | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Dunbar Rovers FC |
| 18/06/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Mounties Wanderers | 0-4 HT 0-1 | Dunbar Rovers FC |
| 04/03/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Dunbar Rovers FC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Mounties Wanderers |
| 03/05/17 Australia FFA Cup | Mounties Wanderers | 6-0 HT 2-0 | Dunbar Rovers FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Dunbar Rovers FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/06 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 06/06 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/05 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 23/05 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 09/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 02/05 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-2 | 1-2 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 18/04 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
Mounties Wanderers
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
4-0 | 6-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 12/06 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 05/06 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 7-0 | – | – | W |
| 22/05 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 17/05 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 5 | D |
| 08/05 | Hawkesbury City SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/05 | Inner West Hawks Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 10/04 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 04/04 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
3-0 | 5-0 | – | – | W |