⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales League 2 · 27/06, 09:00
Inner West Hawks vs Hawkesbury City SC
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inner West Hawks 1463 · Hawkesbury City SC 1521
| Inner West Hawks | Draw | Hawkesbury City SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 21% | 40% |
| Market | 36% | 24% | 41% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.74 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.74Inner West Hawks 1.86 · Hawkesbury City SC 1.88
Over / Under 3.5Over 3.5 · 51%
BTTSYes · 72%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hawkesbury City SC (rating 1463 vs 1521).
- High estimate: 3.74 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- H2H favours Hawkesbury City SC: 3-0-2.
- Early goals: 1.2 combined avg at HT (0.4 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inner West Hawks | Hawkesbury City SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 1.6 / 2.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.1 | 2 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Inner West Hawks 2–0–3 Hawkesbury City SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Hawkesbury City SC | 3-6 HT 3-2 | Inner West Hawks |
| 14/06/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Hawkesbury City SC | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Inner West Hawks |
| 01/03/25 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Inner West Hawks | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Hawkesbury City SC |
| 22/06/24 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Inner West Hawks | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Hawkesbury City SC |
| 04/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 2 | Hawkesbury City SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Inner West Hawks |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Inner West Hawks
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06 | Sydney University Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | Western Rage Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 15/05 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Bonnyrigg White Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 01/05 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
Hawkesbury City SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Fraser Park Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/06 | South Coast Flame FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 03/06 | Gladesville Ryde Magic Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Dunbar Rovers FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 16/05 | Bankstown United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 08/05 | Mounties Wanderers Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 0-4 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Nepean FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
1-0 | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 24/04 | Central Coast United FC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 17/04 | Camden Tigers SC Australia New South Wales League 2 |
2-2 | 5-3 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 11/04 | Parramatta Eagles Australia New South Wales League 2 |
0-1 | 0-4 | – | – | L |