⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 26/06, 12:15
Blacktown Spartans vs Rydalmere Lions FC
57%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Blacktown Spartans 1523 · Rydalmere Lions FC 1451
| Blacktown Spartans | Draw | Rydalmere Lions FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 22% | 21% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.04 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals3.04Blacktown Spartans 1.94 · Rydalmere Lions FC 1.1
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 53%
BTTSYes · 57%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Blacktown Spartans (rating 1523 vs 1451).
- H2H favours Blacktown Spartans: 4-1-1.
- Early goals: 1.5 combined avg at HT (0.9 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Blacktown Spartans | Rydalmere Lions FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.5 | 2.7 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.2 | 4.4 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Blacktown Spartans 4–1–1 Rydalmere Lions FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 2-3 HT 1-0 | Blacktown Spartans |
| 23/05/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 4-2 HT 2-0 | Rydalmere Lions FC |
| 08/02/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Blacktown Spartans |
| 27/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 6-1 HT 2-0 | Blacktown Spartans |
| 19/04/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Blacktown Spartans | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Rydalmere Lions FC |
| 15/08/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Blacktown Spartans |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Blacktown Spartans
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 12/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 06/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 29/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
4-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 15/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 25/04 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 22/04 | Blacktown City Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Rydalmere Lions FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-2 | 1-5 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 10 | 7 | L |
| 30/05 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 16/05 | Dulwich Hill Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 8 | L |
| 09/05 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 01/05 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | Northern Tigers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |