⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 27/06, 08:30
Northern Tigers vs Dulwich Hill
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Northern Tigers 1556 · Dulwich Hill 1448
| Northern Tigers | Draw | Dulwich Hill | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 21% | 16% |
| Market | 59% | 21% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
PickNorthern Tigers · 61%
Expected goals2.82Northern Tigers 1.95 · Dulwich Hill 0.87
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 56%
BTTSYes · 50%
Likely score1-0
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Northern Tigers (rating 1556 vs 1448).
- H2H favours Northern Tigers: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Northern Tigers | Dulwich Hill | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/70/10% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.9 | 1.7 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.2 / 0.1 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Northern Tigers 5–0–1 Dulwich Hill
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Dulwich Hill | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Northern Tigers |
| 16/08/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Dulwich Hill | 0-7 HT 0-1 | Northern Tigers |
| 03/05/25 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Northern Tigers | 5-0 HT 1-0 | Dulwich Hill |
| 24/07/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Northern Tigers | 4-2 HT 3-1 | Dulwich Hill |
| 16/03/24 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Dulwich Hill | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Northern Tigers |
| 17/06/23 Australia New South Wales League 1 | Dulwich Hill | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Northern Tigers |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Northern Tigers
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Bankstown City Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 31/05 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 16/05 | Western City Rangers Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | D |
| 09/05 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 02/05 | Bulls FC Academy Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 18/04 | Hurstville FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Dulwich Hill
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Blacktown Spartans Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Prospect United Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Central Coast Mariners U21 Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Hills United FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-3 | 0-6 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 23/05 | Hakoah Sydney City East Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Inter Lions Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | Newcastle Jets NPL Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Macarthur Rams Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 18/04 | Canterbury Bankstown FC Australia New South Wales League 1 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |