⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales League 1 · 27/06, 09:00
Hurstville FC vs Hills United FC
49%2
Pick: 2 · 49%
Over 2.5 · 62%
Both to score Yes
Score: 1-1
💎 +11.6%
🧠 Model analysisExpected goals: 3.2 (Hurstville FC 1.35 · Hills United FC 1.85). The model gives 28% home, 23% draw, 49% away. Recommendation: Hills United FC (49%, media confidence). Over 2.5 goals (62%) and both teams to score (62%). Most likely score: 1-1. 💎 Value spotted on Hills United FC: +11.6% over the odds (2.375).
🔑 Match keys
- Value on Hills United FC: the model gives +11.6% over odds 2.375.
- High estimate: 3.2 goals → consider Over 2.5.
- Early goals: 1.7 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Both score and concede often → consider BTTS.
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Hurstville FC | Hills United FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.6 | 2.1 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.2 | 1.3 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 5.1 | 3.6 / 6.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 2.8 / 0 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Hurstville FC 0–0–1 Hills United FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 | Hills United FC | 3-2 | Hurstville FC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Hurstville FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Bulls FC Academy | 1-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 13/06 | Western City Rangers | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 06/06 | Inter Lions | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Newcastle Jets NPL | 0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | Prospect United | 1-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 4 | W |
| 08/05 | Blacktown Spartans | 1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 24/04 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Northern Tigers | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | L |
Hills United FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Prospect United | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 13/06 | Macarthur Rams | 2-0 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 05/06 | Bulls FC Academy | 2-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | Dulwich Hill | 3-0 | 6-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 23/05 | Blacktown Spartans | 1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Central Coast Mariners U21 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 09/05 | Rydalmere Lions FC | 1-1 | 2-1 | 10 | 7 | W |
| 02/05 | Western City Rangers | 1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Canterbury Bankstown FC | 1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Bankstown City Lions FC | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | L |