⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 26/06, 11:30
Sydney FC U21 vs Sydney United 58
43%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sydney FC U21 1524 · Sydney United 58 1559
| Sydney FC U21 | Draw | Sydney United 58 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 25% | 26% | 50% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.66Sydney FC U21 1.39 · Sydney United 58 1.26
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSYes · 54%
Likely score1-1
💎 ValueSydney FC U21 +6.9%The model gives this bet 6.9% more probability than its odds (3.60) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours Sydney United 58: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.8 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sydney FC U21 | Sydney United 58 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.5 | 1.7 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.8 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 3 / 6.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.3 | 4 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney FC U21 2–1–3 Sydney United 58
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney United 58 | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 01/06/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney United 58 | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 16/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 3-1 HT 0-0 | Sydney United 58 |
| 04/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney United 58 | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
| 26/04/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney FC U21 | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Sydney United 58 |
| 30/06/23 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney United 58 | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sydney FC U21 |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Sydney FC U21
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 12/06 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 10 | D |
| 05/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 29/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-6 | 10 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 10/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 1 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 5-0 | 9 | 2 | W |
| 24/04 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 4-2 | 1 | 2 | W |
Sydney United 58
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 16 | 1 | L |
| 27/05 | Blacktown City Australia Cup Qualifying |
3-0 | 4-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 23/05 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 13/05 | Manly Utd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 09/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 11 | 5 | W |

