⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 27/06, 09:00
SD Raiders vs St George City FA
44%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · SD Raiders 1529 · St George City FA 1492
| SD Raiders | Draw | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 38% | 28% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.54SD Raiders 1.58 · St George City FA 0.96
Over / Under 2.5Under 2.5 · 52%
BTTSNo · 51%
Likely score1-0
💎 ValueSD Raiders +6.2%The model gives this bet 6.2% more probability than its odds (2.38) pay: the bookie has it underpriced.
🔑 Match keys
- H2H favours St George City FA: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| SD Raiders | St George City FA | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.5 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 11/56/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.5 | 0.6 / 2.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.3 | 1.9 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · SD Raiders 1–0–5 St George City FA
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/26 Australia Cup Qualifying | St George City FA | 1-2 HT 1-2 | SD Raiders |
| 14/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George City FA | 4-3 HT 0-2 | SD Raiders |
| 09/07/22 Australia New South Wales League 1 | SD Raiders | 1-2 HT 0-1 | St George City FA |
| 25/04/22 Australia New South Wales League 1 | St George City FA | 3-1 HT 1-0 | SD Raiders |
| 05/06/21 Australia New South Wales League 2 | St George City FA | 1-0 HT 0-0 | SD Raiders |
| 31/03/21 Australia New South Wales League 2 | SD Raiders | 0-2 HT 0-0 | St George City FA |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
SD Raiders
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 14/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/05 | St George City FA Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 9 | W |
| 09/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 02/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 26/04 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
St George City FA
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 1 | W |
| 13/06 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/06 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 30/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 23/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 16/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | SD Raiders Australia Cup Qualifying |
1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 09/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 06/05 | Blacktown City Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 02/05 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-5 | 1 | 2 | L |