⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 27/06, 10:30
St George Saints vs Sydney Olympic
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · St George Saints 1418 · Sydney Olympic 1461
| St George Saints | Draw | Sydney Olympic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 25% | 35% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.78 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.78St George Saints 1.43 · Sydney Olympic 1.35
Over / Under 3Under 3 · 57%
BTTSYes · 56%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney Olympic (rating 1418 vs 1461).
- H2H favours St George Saints: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| St George Saints | Sydney Olympic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 0.7 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/30/60% | 22/11/67% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.4 | 1.9 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · St George Saints 4–0–2 Sydney Olympic
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney Olympic | 0-2 HT 0-2 | St George Saints |
| 24/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Sydney Olympic |
| 09/04/25 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying | Sydney Olympic | 5-2 HT 0-1 | St George Saints |
| 08/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney Olympic | 2-1 HT 1-1 | St George Saints |
| 10/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Sydney Olympic | 0-3 HT 0-1 | St George Saints |
| 04/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | St George Saints | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sydney Olympic |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
St George Saints
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 2 | L |
| 30/05 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 16/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/04 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 18/04 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
Sydney Olympic
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 1 | L |
| 13/06 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 27/05 | Fraser Park Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 24/05 | Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 9 | 6 | W |
| 15/05 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 09/05 | Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 03/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 29/04 | Marconi Stallions Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |