⚽ Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 28/06, 07:00
Marconi Stallions vs Blacktown City
61%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marconi Stallions 1582 · Blacktown City 1484
| Marconi Stallions | Draw | Blacktown City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 25% | 15% |
| Market | 62% | 22% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.59 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.59Marconi Stallions 1.81 · Blacktown City 0.79
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marconi Stallions (rating 1582 vs 1484).
- H2H favours Marconi Stallions: 3-1-2.
- Early goals: 1.8 combined avg at HT (1 + 0.8) → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Marconi Stallions | Blacktown City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 0.5 | 1.3 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 56/22/22% | 33/33/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 4.9 | 2 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.3 | 2.6 / 0.2 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Marconi Stallions 3–1–2 Blacktown City
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/03/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Blacktown City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Marconi Stallions |
| 25/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Blacktown City | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Marconi Stallions |
| 08/02/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Blacktown City |
| 01/09/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 6-2 HT 6-1 | Blacktown City |
| 17/08/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Marconi Stallions | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Blacktown City |
| 12/05/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League | Blacktown City | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Marconi Stallions |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Marconi Stallions
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 12/06 | Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 10 | D |
| 07/06 | Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 30/05 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 24/05 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 16/05 | NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 02/05 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-2 | 4-2 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 29/04 | Sydney Olympic Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 25/04 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
3-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Blacktown City
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 07/06 | Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 30/05 | Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 27/05 | Sydney United 58 Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-3 | 0-4 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | Sydney Olympic Australia New South Wales Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 10/05 | St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 06/05 | St George City FA Australia Cup Qualifying |
– | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |