⚽ Football · USA USL League One · 25/06, 03:00
Spokane Velocity FC vs Westchester SC
54%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Spokane Velocity FC 1511 · Westchester SC 1456
| Spokane Velocity FC | Draw | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 23% | 23% |
| Market | 54% | 24% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model beats the market.
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.92Spokane Velocity FC 1.83 · Westchester SC 1.09
Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%
BTTSYes · 56%
Likely score1-1
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spokane Velocity FC (rating 1511 vs 1456).
- H2H favours Spokane Velocity FC: 3-0-0.
- Early goals: 1.2 avg at HT → Over 0.5 HT.
- Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Spokane Velocity FC | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.4 | 1.9 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.7 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/10/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 4.2 | 1.2 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.1 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Spokane Velocity FC 3–0–0 Westchester SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/25 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Westchester SC |
| 17/07/25 USA USL League One | Westchester SC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Spokane Velocity FC |
| 05/05/25 USA USL League One | Spokane Velocity FC | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Westchester SC |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Spokane Velocity FC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | One Knoxville SC USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | Antelope Valley Alta USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 07/06 | AC Boise USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 25/05 | Sarasota Paradise USA USL League One |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Cup |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 11/05 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 03/05 | Corpus Christi FC USA USL League One |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Sacramento Republic USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 12/04 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
Westchester SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL League One |
2-0 | 5-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 15/06 | Greenville Triumph SC USA USL League One |
3-0 | 4-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 07/06 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Naples USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | New York Cosmos USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 10/05 | Fort Wayne FC USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Richmond Kickers USA USL League One |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 10 | L |
| 26/04 | Portland Hearts of Pine USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 7-6 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 19/04 | AC Boise USA USL League One |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 4 | L |