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Football · USA USL League One · 01/07, 23:30

Charlotte Independence vs Corpus Christi FC

Expected goals: 3.21 (Charlotte Independence 2.06 · Corpus Christi FC 1.15). The model gives 57% home, 23% draw, 20% away. Over 3 goals (50%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 1-1.

57%1
57% 23% 20%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Charlotte Independence 1598 · Corpus Christi FC 1497
Charlotte IndependenceDrawCorpus Christi FC
Our model57%23%20%
Market57%23%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.21 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).

Model analysis
Expected goals3.21Charlotte Independence 2.06 · Corpus Christi FC 1.15
Over / Under 3Over 3 · 50%
BTTSYes · 56%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Charlotte Independence (rating 1598 vs 1497).
  • Cards-heavy: 10.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Charlotte IndependenceCorpus Christi FC
Goals for / against (FT)2.5 / 1.11.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 0.70.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/50/0%20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 4.82.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.6 / 0.16.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Charlotte Independence 1–0–0 Corpus Christi FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
10/05/26
USA USL League One
Corpus Christi FC1-3
HT 1-2
Charlotte Independence

Standings · USA USL League One

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Union Omaha 15915 221728
2 One Knoxville SC 13832 241127
3 Charlotte Independence 12822 311626
4 Antelope Valley Alta 14662 211424
5 Spokane Velocity FC 13724 171723
6 AC Boise 14635 212121
7 Fort Wayne FC 13562 171221
8 Forward Madison FC 12624 211420
9 FC Naples 15528 162317
10 Portland Hearts of Pine 14455 212217
11 Chattanooga Red Wolves 10514 191316
12 Sarasota Paradise 165110 172816
13 Corpus Christi FC 14365 172315
14 Westchester SC 13427 232014
15 Richmond Kickers 13328 122411
16 Greenville Triumph SC 11317 112110
17 New York Cosmos 12219 16307

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCharlotte IndependenceCorpus Christi FC
Forward Madison FC 3-1 W 0-3 L
Fort Wayne FC 2-2 D 1-1 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 0 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Charlotte Independence (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Charlotte Independence

DWWDWWWWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 Greenville Triumph SC
USA USL Cup
 0-0 1-0 64 W
14/06 FC Naples
USA USL League One
 1-1 4-3 64 W
11/06 Union Omaha
USA USL League One
 1-0 2-0 75 W
04/06 FC Naples
USA USL League One
 3-0 5-1 55 W
31/05 Chattanooga Red Wolves
USA USL League One
 2-2 3-2 57 W
24/05 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
 2-1 3-1 55 W
16/05 Pittsburgh Riverhounds
USA USL Cup
 1-0 1-1 12 D
10/05 Corpus Christi FC
USA USL League One
 2-1 3-1 46 W
07/05 AC Boise
USA USL League One
 0-0 1-0 65 W
03/05 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
 2-2 2-2 34 D

Corpus Christi FC

LLDDLWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/06 Antelope Valley Alta
USA USL League One
 0-0 0-0 55 D
21/06 Sarasota Paradise
USA USL League One
 2-0 4-1 26 W
14/06 Richmond Kickers
USA USL League One
 0-0 1-0 114 W
10/06 Birmingham Legion FC
USA USL Cup
 0-2 0-3 55 L
04/06 Portland Hearts of Pine
USA USL League One
 0-1 3-2 68 W
30/05 Forward Madison FC
USA USL League One
 0-2 0-3 34 L
24/05 One Knoxville SC
USA USL League One
 1-0 2-2 38 D
21/05 Fort Wayne FC
USA USL League One
 0-0 1-1 38 D
17/05 Tulsa
USA USL Cup
 0-0 0-1 310 L
10/05 Charlotte Independence
USA USL League One
 1-2 1-3 76 L