Football · USA USL Championship · 05/07, 02:30

Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic

Expected goals: 2.82 (Tulsa 1.53 · Sacramento Republic 1.29). The model gives 42% home, 27% draw, 31% away. Over 2.25 goals (51%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.

42%1

42% 27% 31%

Model analysis

Expected goals2.82Tulsa 1.53 · Sacramento Republic 1.29

Over / Under 2.25Over 2.25 · 51%

BTTSYes · 55%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Tulsa: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Tulsa	Sacramento Republic
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.5	2.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	2.8 / 5.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.4	5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Tulsa 2–3–1 Sacramento Republic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/03/26 USA USL Championship	Sacramento Republic	2-0 HT 0-0	Tulsa
08/06/25 USA USL Championship	Sacramento Republic	0-1 HT 0-1	Tulsa
29/03/25 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	1-0 HT 0-0	Sacramento Republic
23/06/24 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	0-0 HT 0-0	Sacramento Republic
14/04/24 USA USL Championship	Sacramento Republic	1-1 HT 1-0	Tulsa
30/04/23 USA USL Championship	Tulsa	1-1 HT 0-0	Sacramento Republic

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	14	7	5	2	22	15	26
2	San Antonio FC	14	6	6	2	20	17	24
3	Oakland Roots	14	5	6	3	23	20	21
4	Tulsa	13	5	4	4	17	16	19
5	New Mexico United	12	5	3	4	13	13	18
6	Phoenix Rising FC	14	4	5	5	19	19	17
7	El Paso Locomotive FC	13	4	4	5	23	23	16
8	Sacramento Republic	12	4	4	4	13	12	16
9	Colorado Switchbacks FC	13	4	4	5	21	21	16
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	13	4	3	6	20	23	15
11	Lexington SC	12	4	3	5	17	15	15
12	Monterey Bay FC	14	4	2	8	14	22	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Tulsa	Sacramento Republic
Colorado Switchbacks FC	1-2 L	1-0 W
Monterey Bay FC	2-0 W	6-4 W
San Antonio FC	1-2 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	2 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Sacramento Republic (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Tulsa

LWWWWDLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	0	4	L
18/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
14/06	Charleston Battery USA USL Championship	1-3	1-5	4	4	L
07/06	San Antonio FC USA USL Cup	1-0	1-2	2	9	L
31/05	Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
23/05	Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship	1-0	2-0	3	9	W
17/05	Corpus Christi FC USA USL Cup	0-0	1-0	7	10	W
04/05	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship	0-1	2-1	2	5	W
30/04	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	1-0	4-1	3	11	W
26/04	One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup	0-1	3-4	10	3	L

Sacramento Republic

LDWWWLLWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/06	New Mexico United USA USL Championship	0-0	0-1	5	4	L
14/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	1	8	W
07/06	Monterey Bay FC USA USL Cup	0-0	6-4	6	4	W
31/05	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	0-2	0-2	5	5	L
24/05	San Antonio FC USA USL Championship	0-2	1-2	7	9	L
17/05	Oakland Roots USA USL Cup	0-0	1-0	2	1	W
03/05	Orange County SC USA USL Championship	0-1	3-2	14	4	W
26/04	Spokane Velocity FC USA USL Cup	2-0	4-0	5	8	W
22/04	Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship	0-1	1-1	5	3	D
15/04	Minnesota United USA US Open Cup	0-0	8-9	5	6	L