Football · USA USL Championship · 05/07, 02:00
Louisville City FC vs Hartford Athletic
Expected goals: 2.67 (Louisville City FC 1.49 · Hartford Athletic 1.18). The model gives 43% home, 28% draw, 29% away. Over 2.75 goals (51%) and both teams to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-1.
43%1
Model analysis
Expected goals2.67Louisville City FC 1.49 · Hartford Athletic 1.18
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Louisville City FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Louisville City FC | Hartford Athletic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.9 | 1.2 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/80/20% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.7 | 1.9 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.1 | 4.5 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Louisville City FC 2–3–1 Hartford Athletic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10/25 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Hartford Athletic |
| 18/05/25 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Louisville City FC |
| 25/08/24 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Louisville City FC |
| 28/04/24 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 6-0 HT 3-0 | Hartford Athletic |
| 08/10/23 USA USL Championship | Louisville City FC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Hartford Athletic |
| 04/06/23 USA USL Championship | Hartford Athletic | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Louisville City FC |
Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 23 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Charleston Battery | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 26 |
| 3 | Detroit City FC | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 13 | 21 |
| 4 | Louisville City FC | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 21 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 13 | 20 |
| 6 | Indy Eleven | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 18 |
| 7 | Hartford Athletic | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 18 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 17 |
| 9 | Rhode Island FC | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 21 | 15 | 15 |
| 10 | Birmingham Legion FC | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 13 |
| 11 | Loudoun United FC | 13 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 10 |
| 12 | Brooklyn FC | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 24 | 9 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 39 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Louisville City FC | Hartford Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| Detroit City FC | 4-3 W | 2-1 W |
| Brooklyn FC | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0-2 L | 1-0 W |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hartford Athletic (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Louisville City FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 4-3 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 2-2 | 14 | 4 | D |
| 11/06 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 04/06 | Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Miami FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Union Omaha USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 5-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 03/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 30/04 | Houston Dynamo USA US Open Cup |
0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | L |
Hartford Athletic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 14/06 | Tampa Bay Rowdies USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | New York Cosmos USA USL Cup |
3-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 23/05 | Tulsa USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Detroit City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
0-3 | 0-4 | 1 | 4 | L |

