Football · USA USL Championship · 05/07, 03:00

San Antonio FC vs Monterey Bay FC

Expected goals: 2.84 (San Antonio FC 1.85 · Monterey Bay FC 0.99). The model gives 56% home, 25% draw, 19% away. Over 2.5 goals (53%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.

56%1

56% 25% 19%

Model analysis

Expected goals2.84San Antonio FC 1.85 · Monterey Bay FC 0.99

Over / Under 2.5Over 2.5 · 53%

BTTSYes · 53%

Most likely total2 goals

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Antonio FC (rating 1571 vs 1497).
H2H favours San Antonio FC: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	San Antonio FC	Monterey Bay FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.6	2.3 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.7 / 4.6	1.6 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	3.7 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · San Antonio FC 3–3–0 Monterey Bay FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/04/26 USA USL Championship	Monterey Bay FC	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC
24/08/25 USA USL Championship	Monterey Bay FC	0-0 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC
09/03/25 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Monterey Bay FC
08/09/24 USA USL Championship	Monterey Bay FC	0-1 HT 0-0	San Antonio FC
31/03/24 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	2-1 HT 1-1	Monterey Bay FC
20/08/23 USA USL Championship	San Antonio FC	0-0 HT 0-0	Monterey Bay FC

Standings · USA USL Championship · USL Championship 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Orange County SC	14	7	5	2	22	15	26
2	San Antonio FC	14	6	6	2	20	17	24
3	Oakland Roots	14	5	6	3	23	20	21
4	Tulsa	13	5	4	4	17	16	19
5	New Mexico United	12	5	3	4	13	13	18
6	Phoenix Rising FC	14	4	5	5	19	19	17
7	El Paso Locomotive FC	13	4	4	5	23	23	16
8	Sacramento Republic	12	4	4	4	13	12	16
9	Colorado Switchbacks FC	13	4	4	5	21	21	16
10	Las Vegas Lights FC	13	4	3	6	20	23	15
11	Lexington SC	12	4	3	5	17	15	15
12	Monterey Bay FC	14	4	2	8	14	22	14

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	San Antonio FC	Monterey Bay FC
Lexington SC	0-2 L	1-3 L
Tulsa	2-1 W	0-2 L
Sporting JAX	4-4 D	2-1 W
Sacramento Republic	2-1 W	4-6 L
Birmingham Legion FC	3-1 W	2-0 W
El Paso Locomotive FC	3-2 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 1 L	3 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: San Antonio FC (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

San Antonio FC

WWDDWWDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/06	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	2-1	2	8	W
14/06	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
07/06	Tulsa USA USL Cup	0-1	2-1	4	9	W
28/05	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	0-3	4-4	5	5	D
24/05	Sacramento Republic USA USL Championship	2-0	2-1	0	9	W
17/05	One Knoxville SC USA USL Cup	1-0	1-0	7	7	W
10/05	Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship	1-0	1-1	3	7	D
03/05	Colorado Switchbacks FC USA USL Championship	1-1	3-3	6	7	D
26/04	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Cup	0-0	3-1	8	2	W
19/04	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	2-1	3-2	5	3	W

Monterey Bay FC

WLLLWWLWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/06	El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
18/06	Tulsa USA USL Championship	0-1	0-2	5	5	L
11/06	Sporting JAX USA USL Championship	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
07/06	Sacramento Republic USA USL Cup	0-0	4-6	6	4	L
31/05	Loudoun United FC USA USL Championship	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
24/05	Birmingham Legion FC USA USL Championship	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
17/05	AC Boise USA USL Cup	3-1	3-4	0	7	L
09/05	Lexington SC USA USL Championship	0-2	1-3	1	4	L
04/05	Tulsa USA USL Championship	1-0	1-2	5	5	L
26/04	Oakland Roots USA USL Cup	0-1	5-4	5	3	W