Football · USA USL Championship · 05/07, 00:00
Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Lexington SC
54%1
Model analysis
Expected goals2.91Tampa Bay Rowdies 1.83 · Lexington SC 1.08
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 51%
BTTSYes · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tampa Bay Rowdies (rating 1579 vs 1522).
- Early goals: 1.8 combined avg at HT (1.2 + 0.6) → Over 0.5 HT.
- High corners: 11.5 combined avg → Over corners.
- Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Tampa Bay Rowdies | Lexington SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 0.5 | 2.6 / 2.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 6 | 1.9 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Tampa Bay Rowdies 0–1–0 Lexington SC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/25 USA USL Championship | Lexington SC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Tampa Bay Rowdies |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Tampa Bay Rowdies
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Brooklyn FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/06 | Hartford Athletic USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 2 | L |
| 11/06 | Charleston Battery USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | Sporting JAX USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 31/05 | Louisville City FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Phoenix Rising FC USA USL Championship |
3-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 21/05 | New Mexico United USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 11 | W |
| 17/05 | Miami FC USA USL Cup |
2-0 | 4-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Lexington SC
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06 | Indy Eleven USA USL Cup |
0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 4 | L |
| 14/06 | San Antonio FC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 07/06 | Detroit City FC USA USL Cup |
0-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | El Paso Locomotive FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Indy Eleven USA USL Championship |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Monterey Bay FC USA USL Championship |
2-0 | 3-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Las Vegas Lights FC USA USL Championship |
1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Forward Madison FC USA USL Cup |
1-1 | 4-2 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/04 | Orange County SC USA USL Championship |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/04 | Rhode Island FC USA USL Championship |
0-2 | 1-3 | 9 | 2 | L |