Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 04/07, 20:00
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn vs Club Leandro N. Alem
Expected goals: 2.31 (Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.52 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.79). The model gives 53% home, 29% draw, 18% away. Over 2 goals (55%) and not both to score (51%). Most likely score: 1-0.
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1495 · Club Leandro N. Alem 1517
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | Draw | Club Leandro N. Alem | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 28% | 18% |
| Market | 53% | 29% | 18% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals2.31Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 1.52 · Club Leandro N. Alem 0.79
Over / Under 2Over 2 · 55%
BTTSNo · 51%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 75%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 13.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | Club Leandro N. Alem | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1 | 1.4 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.4 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.6 | 2 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 7.5 / 1 | 5.6 / 1.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn 0–0–1 Club Leandro N. Alem
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Centro Espanol | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 29 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Victoriano Arenas | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 25 |
| 5 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 16 | 25 |
| 6 | CA Lugano | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| 7 | Puerto Nuevo | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 15 | 18 | 23 |
| 8 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 29 | 23 |
| 9 | Club Mercedes | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 22 |
| 10 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 20 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 14 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | Club Leandro N. Alem |
|---|---|---|
| CA Lugano | 3-2 W | 2-2 D |
| Berazategui | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Centro Espanol | 1-0 W | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 0 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 14/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 06/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 13 | D |
| 30/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 12 | D |
| 23/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 11 | W |
| 16/05 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 09/05 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/04 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 8 | L |
Club Leandro N. Alem
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 13/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 19/04 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |