Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 04/07, 20:00
Sacachispas vs Juventud Unida San Miguel
Expected goals: 1.95 (Sacachispas 1.23 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.72). The model gives 48% home, 32% draw, 21% away. Under 2 goals (55%) and not both to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-0.
48%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1528 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 1509
| Sacachispas | Draw | Juventud Unida San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 32% | 20% |
| Market | 48% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.95 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The value bets mark where the odds cover the model probability with a margin (value).
Model analysis
Expected goals1.95Sacachispas 1.23 · Juventud Unida San Miguel 0.72
Over / Under 2Under 2 · 55%
BTTSNo · 53%
Most likely total1 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 80%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 10.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sacachispas | Juventud Unida San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 0.6 | 1.4 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/70/0% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.1 | 1.7 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.9 / 0.3 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 1–0–0 Juventud Unida San Miguel
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/03/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Sacachispas |
Standings · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · Primera C 2026, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Centro Espanol | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 14 | 29 |
| 2 | Berazategui | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 28 |
| 3 | Sacachispas | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 14 | 28 |
| 4 | Victoriano Arenas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 9 | 25 |
| 5 | CA Lugano | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 24 |
| 6 | Club Mercedes | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 10 | 22 |
| 7 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | Club Leandro N. Alem | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 21 | 28 | 22 |
| 9 | Juventud Unida San Miguel | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Defensores de Cambaceres | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 20 |
| 11 | Puerto Nuevo | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 17 | 20 |
| 12 | Argentino de Rosario | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 15 |
| 13 | Deportivo Paraguayo | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 15 |
| 14 | JJ Urquiza | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 14 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sacachispas | Juventud Unida San Miguel |
|---|---|---|
| Argentino de Rosario | 1-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Berazategui | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Victoriano Arenas | 0-1 L | 1-1 D |
| Centro Espanol | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| JJ Urquiza | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Club Mercedes | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 1 L | 3 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Juventud Unida San Miguel (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sacachispas
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 15/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 03/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 8 | W |
Juventud Unida San Miguel
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 08/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 09/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 25/04 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | D |