⚽ Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/06, 18:00
Sacachispas vs CA Lugano
47%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sacachispas 1515 · CA Lugano 1500
| Sacachispas | Draw | CA Lugano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 33% | 21% |
| Market | 49% | 31% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.86 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.86Sacachispas 1.17 · CA Lugano 0.7
BTTSNo · 64%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Low estimate: 1.86 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 12.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sacachispas | CA Lugano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 1.1 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.1 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 3.5 | 1.8 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.3 | 6.9 / 0.4 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Sacachispas 0–0–1 CA Lugano
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | CA Lugano | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sacachispas |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Sacachispas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 13 | D |
| 03/06 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 25/05 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/05 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 26/04 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/04 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 4-3 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 11/04 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
CA Lugano
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 30/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 11 | L |
| 16/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 10/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 03/05 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 25/04 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 18/04 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 12/04 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |