⚽ Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 28/06, 20:00
Club Leandro N. Alem vs Berazategui
41%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Leandro N. Alem 1498 · Berazategui 1542
| Club Leandro N. Alem | Draw | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Market | 23% | 30% | 47% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.5Club Leandro N. Alem 1.28 · Berazategui 1.21
Most likely total2 goals
💎 ValueClub Leandro N. Alem or draw · @1.88Safer option: double chance at 1.88 (win or draw). The straight winner paid more but is riskier.
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Berazategui (rating 1498 vs 1542).
- H2H favours Berazategui: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Leandro N. Alem | Berazategui | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 1.1 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/50/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 3.7 | 2.1 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 1 | 5.1 / 0.7 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Leandro N. Alem 2–0–4 Berazategui
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 18/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 12/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Berazategui |
| 16/08/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Berazategui | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Club Leandro N. Alem |
| 02/05/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
| 08/10/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Leandro N. Alem | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Berazategui |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Club Leandro N. Alem
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | Centro Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 31/05 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 23/05 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 4-2 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 03/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 9 | W |
| 25/04 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 9 | D |
| 19/04 | Central Ballester Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 11/04 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
Berazategui
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/06 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 08/06 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/06 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 11 | D |
| 16/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/05 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
| 03/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 9 | W |
| 26/04 | Victoriano Arenas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |