⚽ Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/06, 18:00
Deportivo Paraguayo vs Centro Espanol
40%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Paraguayo 1478 · Centro Espanol 1540
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Draw | Centro Espanol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 33% | 35% |
| Market | 23% | 32% | 45% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.08 goals · Bet365 line 2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.08Deportivo Paraguayo 1.02 · Centro Espanol 1.06
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Centro Espanol (rating 1478 vs 1540).
- H2H favours Centro Espanol: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Paraguayo | Centro Espanol | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 1 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/70/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.2 | 1.2 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.2 / 0.3 | 5.3 / 0.3 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Paraguayo 2–1–3 Centro Espanol
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 5-1 HT 3-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 28/06/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 17/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Centro Espanol |
| 28/09/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Deportivo Paraguayo | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Centro Espanol |
| 29/04/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
| 14/10/23 Argentina Primera D Metropolitana | Centro Espanol | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Paraguayo |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Deportivo Paraguayo
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | JJ Urquiza Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Club Mercedes Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 23/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 17/05 | Lujan Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 10/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-1 | 2-4 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 20/04 | Sportivo Barracas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 11/04 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 9 | W |
Centro Espanol
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 06/06 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 23/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 16/05 | Fenix Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/05 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 26/04 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 18/04 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | Berazategui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |