⚽ Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 27/06, 20:00
Club Mercedes vs JJ Urquiza
53%1
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Mercedes 1509 · JJ Urquiza 1440
| Club Mercedes | Draw | JJ Urquiza | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 36% | 7% |
| Market | 49% | 32% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.3 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals1.3Club Mercedes 1.06 · JJ Urquiza 0.23
BTTSNo · 86%
Most likely total1 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Club Mercedes (rating 1509 vs 1440).
- Low estimate: 1.3 goals → consider Under 2.5.
- Cards-heavy: 11.9 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Mercedes | JJ Urquiza | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 0.3 | 0.1 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 1.2 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.8 / 0.4 | 6.1 / 0.6 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Mercedes 2–1–2 JJ Urquiza
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Club Mercedes |
| 05/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Club Mercedes |
| 26/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 0-1 HT 0-0 | JJ Urquiza |
| 13/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | JJ Urquiza | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Club Mercedes |
| 23/03/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Club Mercedes | 1-1 HT 1-0 | JJ Urquiza |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Club Mercedes
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 18/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 03/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 26/04 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 18/04 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 11/04 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 9 | W |
JJ Urquiza
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/06 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 06/06 | Puerto Nuevo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 31/05 | Club Leandro N. Alem Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 23/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 09/05 | Juventud Unida San Miguel Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 04/05 | Sacachispas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Argentino de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 9 | D |
| 18/04 | El Porvenir Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | D |
| 13/04 | Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 5 | D |