⚽ Football · Argentina Primera C Metropolitana · 28/06, 18:00
Sportivo Barracas vs Lujan
38%2
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sportivo Barracas 1500 · Lujan 1583
| Sportivo Barracas | Draw | Lujan | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 29% | 33% | 38% |
| Market | 30% | 33% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.02 goals · Bet365 line 1.5 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market. The 💎 marks where our model sees the odds underpriced (possible value).
🧠 Model analysis
Expected goals2.02Sportivo Barracas 0.91 · Lujan 1.1
Most likely total2 goals
🔑 Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lujan (rating 1500 vs 1583).
- H2H favours Lujan: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 11.3 🟨 combined avg.
📊 Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sportivo Barracas | Lujan | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 0.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.6 | 0.8 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 50/50/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 2.5 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.3 / 0.2 | 5 / 0.6 |
⚔️ Head-to-head (H2H) · Sportivo Barracas 2–1–3 Lujan
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/26 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 18/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 5-6 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 13/10/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Lujan |
| 14/07/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Lujan |
| 30/03/25 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Lujan | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Sportivo Barracas |
| 04/08/24 Argentina Primera C Metropolitana | Sportivo Barracas | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Lujan |
📅 Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Matches that were 0-0 at half-time are shaded grey.
Sportivo Barracas
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 12 | W |
| 06/06 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 01/06 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-3 | 1-3 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 18/05 | Defensores de Cambaceres Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 10 | W |
| 11/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 27/04 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 20/04 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 12/04 | CA Claypole Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
Lujan
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06 | Yupanqui Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 07/06 | General Lamadrid Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 9 | W |
| 30/05 | Leones de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 24/05 | CA Atlas Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 17/05 | Deportivo Paraguayo Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 9 | W |
| 10/05 | Canuelas FC Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | Deportivo Muniz Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Deportivo Espanol Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 18/04 | CA Lugano Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Central Cordoba de Rosario Argentina Primera C Metropolitana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |